Asian Urban Information Center of Kobe International NGO
Established in 1989
Supported by UNFPA and
the Kobe City Government

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2. Current Rate and Source of Population Growth

The information in this section was given as a percentage figure for either official data or estimates of the city's current rate ofgrowth. It gives some idea about the cities' growth and the sources of that growth. This section asks for official or estimated current growth rates,natural increases, and net migration.

As can be seen in table 2-1, few respondents provided information for this section. While India had the highest number of responses, the given growth rates were for a decade and not annual. Malaysia also appears to have reported information regarding official percent current growth rate for a ten year period. These rates were recalculated to determine the annual growth rates. The growth rates given for cities in other countries are consistent with what might be expected.

Table 2-1
Average Annual Growth Rate by Country

Table 2-2
Comparison of Reported Annual Growth Rate
to UN Five Year Estimates

All respondents reported a positive growth rate. The average growth rates ranged from 0.6%(Thailand) to 5.2%(India). It should be noted that only respondents from China and Thailand reported an average annual growth rate that is less than the UN estimates. The responses indicate that the cities participating in this survey are generally growing at a rate above their respective national averages.

Access Person Comments:

India: The percent growth was computed by taking 1981 and 1991 census figures for the cities. This figure was split into the two components (natural & migration) on the basis of the best guess of the administrators' perceptions of the situation in their cities. Since no official data is available and the component figures are estimates, these figures should be taken with caution.
The Philippines: No data on natural increase and net migration is provided by the country's population census. The fact that most of the respondents could not themselves accurately provide this information points to the need for the statisticians of the cities' planning and development offices to undergo training. Most of the growth seen in The Philippines is due to natural increase.

 

CONTENTS

CONTENTS

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

INTRODUCTION

I. AGGREGATE NATIONAL DATA

II. THE SURVEY, CITIES, AND FINDINGS
1. Basic Data on City Size

2.CurrentRate and Source of Population Growth
3. Perception of City's Growth
4. Poverty
5. Status of Women
6. Quality of Life Indicators
7. Family Planning
8. General Urban Problems

III. CONCLUSIONS

APPENDIX

CONTENTS

 

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